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  • Writer's pictureAda Tam Ying Ying

Market Update 9th - 16th August 2022: Is Global Economic Decoupling unavoidable?

Investment tip takeaway 🦉 this week:

For last week, let's focus on our own economic data:


Singapore

SG's Foreign Reserves USD (MoM) Jul, Previous: 314.3B... Actual: 288.2B

-> The foreign assets held or controlled by our central bank, dropped

SG's GDP (QoQ) Q2 , Previous: 0.8%... Actual: -1.0%

SG's GDP (YoY) Q2 , Previous: 3.8%... Actual: 4.4%


Source from CNA:


Malaysia

MYR's GDP (QoQ) Q2 , Previous: 5%... Actual: 8.9%


China

CNY's CPI (MoM) Jul, Previous: 0.5%... Actual: -0.2%

-> Prices of goods and services are increasing, indicate inflation is going up

CNY's PPI (YoY), Previous: 6.1%... Actual: 4.2%

-> Commodities price is likely dropping, and in turn reduce the producers' input cost

CNY's New Loans Jul, Previous: 2,810.0B... Actual: 679.0B

-> Borrowing and Spending reduced


United Stated

USD's CPI (YoY), Previous: 9.1%... Actual: 8.5%

-> Inflation fell slightly

USD's Crude Oil Inventories, Previous: 4.467M... Actual: 5.458M

USD's Federal Budget Balance, Previous: -89.0B... Actual: -211.0B

-> Budget in deficit

USD's PPI (MoM) Jul, Previous: 1.0%... Actual: -0.5%

-> Producers' price drop ; lower input cost

USD's Export and Import Price Index (YoY),

Previous: 18.2% & 10.7%... Actual: 13.1% & 8.8%

-> With consumer sentiment rises, inflation seem under control


British

GBP's GDP (QoQ) Q2 , Previous: 0.8%... Actual: -0.1%

GBP's GDP (YoY) Q2 , Previous: 8.7%... Actual: 2.9%


Hong Kong

HKD's GDP (QoQ) Q2 , Previous: -2.9%... Actual: 1.0%

HKD's GDP (YoY) Q2 , Previous: -1.4%... Actual: -1.3%



To Investors :

The Dollar Is Finally Falling... and that's good news to the stock market. As of today, the exchange rate of USD to SGD, is about 1.37-1.38... comparing to few weeks ago, the exchange rate had ever hit as high as 1.41 and it was indeed stressful to the capital market to digest the post-effect of stronger dollars resulted from the rising interest rate. However, here come another question : If the effect of rising interest rate of strengthening the US Dollar seem dissipated so fast, what likely can happen next if rate hike no longer work to suppress the inflation... Will the USD still able to maintain its leading position as the most traded currency in the world for the next decade, we need to pay attention to the global currency trends as it can direct impact our own currency too.

Singapore

Our foreign reserves (foreign exchange reserves are assets held on reserve by a central bank in foreign currencies) had shrieked as data shown last week, and STI also seem weaker after the declared dividend from the banks had passed the ex-date last week.



Beside political stability, another topic of discussion may influence the decision of fund managers to chose their strategic business locations to park their money include how supportive the country towards LGBT community, investors should take note.


Is Global Economic Decoupling unavoidable?

Today, many countries had been gearing up to look for another countries to form partnership or alliances, in ramping up their own competitive advantages as well as defense capabilities to protect themselves against common rivalries in the event of war. As such, protectionism was once again take centre stage among policy makers, with more and more countries started to restrict exportation to ensure its own domestic demands are met. Since 2018, the former US president, Donald Trump, had been implementing trade protectionism include tariffs, quotas, and subsidies to promote domestic companies by making foreign goods relatively more expensive. Last week, the recent new act, U.S. CHIPS and Science Act, was introduced by Biden to subsidize U.S. domestic chip companies with billion of dollars for new manufacturing facilities, research and development. It meant to aim in boosting U.S. competitiveness against China and other foreign rivals. So, how bad is the news to the chip-making companies around the world: I believe the competition of chip-making industry will ramp up in 2023. Investors can consider to sell by this year end if you have chip making companies in your portfolio as I still expect the chip makers to rebound in pricing for the coming 2-3 months.



🌀 Focal Point : Q2 Earning Announcements continue


📣 Unit State: Click Here for US Events Calendar for Aug 14, 2022 - Aug 20, 2022


📣 Singapore: Earnings Calendar - 15 Aug 2022 to 19 Aug 2022

2 SGX-listed companies will be announcing their financial results this week, including STI constituent SGX Group.


 

"Success is not final; Failure is not fatal; it is the courage to continue that counts."📌

 

Other Focus (Results and Highlights of Corporate Actions):

REIT Results:

Cromwell European REIT

1HFY2022

Net property income (NPI) increased by 4.7% y-o-y to €67.3 million

DPU of 8.695 Euro cents

IREIT Global

1HFY2022

Net property income (NPI) increased by 26.4% y-o-y to €24.4 million in the 1HFY2022

DPU of 1.41 Euro cents (1.99 cents)

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT

2HFY2022

Net property income was up $45.9 million, up 72.9% y-o-y

DPU of 2.45 cents

Lippo Mall Indonesia Retail Trust (LMIRT)

1HFY2022

Net property income gained 8.8% y-o-y in 2Q2022 to $34.6 million

DPU of 0.09 cents

Parkway Life REIT (Gleneagles Hospital, Mount Elizabeth Hospital, Parkway East Hospital)

1HFY2022

Net property income, up 1.1% y-o-y, revenue was up 1% to $60.18 million.

DPU of 7.06 cents

Sasseur REIT

1HFY2022

EMA rental income fell by 0.5% y-o-y to RMB301.8 million

DPU of 1.588 cents

United Hampshire US REIT

1HFY2022

Net property income (NPI) increased by 10.0% y-o-y to US$9.3 million

DPU of 2.91 US cents (3.99 cents)


Other Results:

AnnAik

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $2.9 million, 2.3 times higher

-

APAC Realty (ERA)

1HFY2022

Report earnings of $16.6 million, down 2.8% y-o-y

an interim dividend of 3.5 cents per share

Banyan Tree

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $514,000, reversing from a loss of $42.6 million

-

Broadway Industrial Group

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $7.5 million, 4.7% lower

-

CapitaLand Investment (CLI)

1HFY2022

​Report earnings of $433 million down 38% y-o-y on lower portfolio gains

-

City Developments Limited (CDL)

1HFY2022

Report earnings with net profit after tax and non-controlling interest (PATMI) of $1.13 billion

a special interim dividend of 12.0 cents per share

Centurion

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $32.9 million, up 277% y-o-y

an interim dividend of 0.5 cent per share

China Everbright Water

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of HK$520.1 million ($91.0) million

an interim dividend of HK5.45 cents (or 0.98 cents) per share

ComfortDelGro (CDG)

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $118.7 million

an interim dividend of 2.85 cents and a special dividend of 1.41 cents

Delfi

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of US$19.4 million ($26.6 million), 57.6% higher y-o-y.

an interim cash dividend of 1.58 US cents

Far East Orchard

1HFY2022

Reversed into the black with earnings of $8.0 million (compared to the loss of $1.9 million last year)

-

First Resources

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of US$128.0 million ($175.3 million)

an interim dividend of 2.50 cents per share

Food Empire

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of US$27.1 million ($37.2 million)

-

Genting Singapore

1HFY2022

reported a net profit of $84.4 million, down 4% yoy

an interim dividend of 1 cent per share

Golden Agri

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of US$389.6 million ($533 million), up 154%

-

Grand Venture Tech

1HFY2022

​Report net profit of $7.1 million, 16.2% down y-o-y

an interim dividend of 0.3 cents per share

Haw Par

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $77.2 million, 45.8% higher

an interim dividend of 15 cents per share

Ho Bee

1HFY2022

Report earnings increased to $149.9 million

earnings increased to $149.9 million

Hong Leong Asia

1HFY2022

Report earnings of $42.6 million

-

HRNetGroup

1HFY2022

​Reported earnings of $34.6 million, down 3.7% y-o-y

an interim dividend of 2.13 cents

Kingsmen Creatives

1HFY2022

Reduced losses to $1.5 million from $1.7 million recorded in the year earlier six months

-

Megachem

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $4.5 million, up 18% y-o-y

an interim dividend of 0.8 cent per share

Mermaid Maritime

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of US$2.3 million ($3.1 million), reversing the loss of US$3.2 million

-

MoneyMax

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $12.9 million, 51.0% higher

-

Nanofilm

1HFY2022

​Report earnings increased 5.1% to $18.8 million, a 5.1% rise y-o-y

an interim dividend of 1.1 cents per share

OKP

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $1.2 million, up 21.7% y-o-y

-

Olam

1HFY2022

Report earnings of $429.1 million, a slight 1.8%

an interim dividend of 4 cents per share

OUE

1HFY2022

Reported net profit $88.7 million, up almost threefold y-o-y

-

PropNex

1HFY2022

​Reported earnings of $13.1 million, 20.7% lower

an interim dividend of 5.5 cents

Prudential

1HFY2022

Annualised premium equivalent (APE) sales increased by 6% y-o-y to US$2.21 billion ($3.05 billion), , 9% up y-o-y

an interim dividend of 5.74 US cents per share

PSC Corporation

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $12.7 million, 41.9% higher

An interim dividend of 0.25 cent per share

SBS Transit

1HFY2022

Report earnings was down 5% to $36.4 million

an interim dividend of 5.45 cents per share

SembMarine

1HFY2022

Posted a net loss of $143 million in the 1HFY2022 ended June, 78% narrower than the net loss of $647 million in the same period the year before

-

ST Engineering

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $280.0 million, which is down by 5.4% y-o-y

an interim dividend of 4 cents per share

Straits Trading

1HFY2022

Report net profit of S$673 million (disposal of the group’s stake in ARA Asset Management to ESR Group)

-

Tat Seng Packaging Group

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $10.9 million, 0.2% higher y-o-y

an interim dividend of 1.5 cents per share

ThaiBev

9MFY2022

EBITDA increased 6.7% y-o-y to 39.11 billion baht

-

UMS

1HFY2022

Reported record earnings of $42 million, up 22% over the year earlier period

an interim dividend of one cent

Uni-Asia

1HFY2022

Profit after tax came in 134% higher at US$16.5 million

an interim dividend of 6.5 cents per share

UOL

1HFY2022

Reported net of $371 million, up 306% yoy

-

ValueMax

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $25.2 million for the 1HFY2022 ended June, 36.8% higher

-

Vicom

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $13.1 million, up 9.2% y-o-y

an interim dividend of 3.32 cents per share

Yangzijiang Financial

1HFY2022

Reported earnings of $136.4 million, down 30.6% y-o-y

-

Yanlord

1HFY2022

Report earnings increased by 67.2% to RMB1.38 billion

-

Other extracted news:

  • DPM Lawrence Wong signals rich may have to pay more taxes

  • OCBC becomes first bank in Singapore to allow direct top-ups to CPF accounts

  • Frasers Property and ThaiBev subsidiaries enter into JV to collaborate in the advancement of tech and digitalisation

  • Oxley announces sale of land in Vietnam for $28.3 mil

  • Keppel O&M wins $3.97 bil FPSO contract from Petrobras in Brazil


Coming Market Focus (Extract):


🔖 Bookmark our Economic Calendar bit.ly/3OeRbhY for weekly updates of key macroeconomic events, earnings releases and corporate actions in the global and Singapore markets.

Sunday, August 14, 2022

JPY

GDP (QoQ) Q2 : Prev 0.0%, Actual 0.5%

GDP (YoY) Q2 :Prev 0.1%, Actual 2.2%

CNY

PBoC Loan Prime Rate : Prev 3.70%, Actual 2.75%

Monday, August 15, 2022

USD

NY Empire State Manufacturing Index

Prev 11.10, Actual -31.30

Tuesday, August 16, 2022

USD

Building Permits (Jul)

Housing Starts (Jul)

Industrial Production (MoM)

API Weekly Crude Oil Stock

SGD

Non-Oil Exports (MoM) (Jul)

Non-Oil Exports (YoY) (Jul)

Trade Balance

Wednesday, August 17, 2022

GBP

CPI (MoM) (Jul)

CPI (YoY) (Jul)

PPI Input (MoM) (Jul)

USD

Core / Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul)

Business Inventories (MoM) (Jun)

Crude Oil Inventories

Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Jun)

FOMC Member Bowman Speaks

FOMC Meeting Minutes

Thursday, August 18, 2022

USD

Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

Philly Fed Employment (Aug)

Existing Home Sales (Jul)

FOMC Member George Speaks

Friday, August 19, 2022

GBP

Core / Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul)

p.s:

Next FOMC Meetings 2022; September. 20-21

 

Focus Point : Blockchain, NFTs and the Metaverse


Bitcoin traders can start to long bitcoin as mentioned in my past issue... entry level 23,500... and exit if it touch 28,000 and above for the month of August till end of September.

 

CASH PLUS Promotion:

Low-commission trading account is available... and check out for Promotion Details

(Waived for US and HK Foreign Custody fee until 31 December 2022.)




 

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